Archive for August, 2008

Filed under: Pricing Trends — Michael Prather @ 6:04 pm

The Chinese Yuan (CNY) soared to record highs against the US Dollar (USD) today, with the noon rate of exchange at just 6.78 Yuan per Dollar. The nearly 1% jump in value from the previous day was its largest single day advance this year.

The weakened US Dollar, which has has lost nearly 10% of its value to the Yuan in the last 12 months, stifles the purchasing power of American importers. Many manufacturers have turned to Europe and other markets where currencies remain strong to reduce exposure to the fledgling US economy.

Filed under: Pricing Trends — Michael Prather @ 10:55 am

Analysts are predicting possible double-digit increases in PVC prices in the coming months after factory shutdowns in China, producer of nearly 1/4 of the world’s PVC, created substantial supply shortages in the market. Bloomberg reported Wednesday that many of the PVC factories initally shutdown because of the Olympics will likely stay close after the Games due to higher costs, China’s growing energy crisis, and strict new environmental restrictions.

Polyvinyl chloride is one of a small list of petrochemicals that has not declined in recent weeks, despite the retreat in oil prices. Now, with oil climbing again over $120/barrel, it is likely we will again experience new record highs before the end of the year.

Filed under: Pricing Trends, Supply & Distribution — Michael Prather @ 10:18 am

A plethora of new charges taking effect September 1 are expected to increase freight costs by more than 12%. The increase results from the combination of peak season surcharges, initially expected to take effect this month, and Bunker Adjustment Factor (fuel surcharge, referred to as “BAF”).

Rising costs also create new hurdles for logistics, making effective coordination between shippers paramount to avoid additional fees. Rail yards, for example, which previously permitted up to 6 days for container pick-up, are now penalizing customers after just 2 days.

Filed under: Pricing Trends, Supply & Distribution — Michael Prather @ 2:33 pm

When this blog was launched a few weeks back, the goal was simple: inform our business partners of industry conditions affecting gloves that cannot be explained by exchange rates, raw material prices, and energy costs alone. Never have these issues, which lie outside of the simple black-and-white pricing charts, been more evident than in the past few weeks.

A quick look at our pricing trends page, and one would believe there to be ample reason for optimism. Oil has dropped by 15% in the past month and latex has retreated from its record highs set a few weeks back. Even the US Dollar, which has struggled for more than two years, has made strides against several foreign currencies in the last 30 days.

Consider, however, current cost pressures these pricing trends fail to portray:

- Rippling PVC prices
- Olympics shutdowns
- Blackouts
- Labor shortages
- Cash flow problems
- Increases in Malaysian natural gas costs
- Freight surcharges
- New FDA glove standards
- Tightened lending limits
- Reduced capacity
- Speculative buying

In sum, while we remain hopeful that favorable pricing trends will continue, market intelligence suggests that conditions will continue to worsen in the coming months.

Filed under: Supply & Distribution — Michael Prather @ 10:15 am

The Chinese government released a report earlier this month warning of further power outages due to nation-wide energy shortages. Coal shortages, rising prices, and an overloaded power grid have all contributed to recent struggles.

The country’s energy troubles are not new; earlier this year China faced lengthy outages following winter snow storms that closed mines and hampered delivery. In recent months, vinyl glove manufacturers have been forced to adapt to the challenges the shortages create, often by reducing production. Several vendors have reported that they are only afforded power for about 6 hours each day. Considering production equipment takes approximately 2-3 hours to warm-up, production time is limited to only a few hours of the day.

Further reading:
Coal shortage threatens power supply
China urges more power conservation amid shortage
Shandong Xinfa Aluminum May Have to Cut Production